LOST
Tip LOST
ML Vitebsk 1-2 Vitebsk
M
ML Vitebsk
Home
W
D
W
W
W
6W 2D 2L
▲ Improving
VS
1-2
V
Vitebsk
Away
L
L
D
L
D
2W 4D 4L
→ Steady
ML Vitebsk
50%
Draw
30%
Vitebsk
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
71.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-5.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
ML Vitebsk
0
Draws
0
Vitebsk
7
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
14%
BTTS
43%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
ML Vitebsk won 7 of the last 7 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
ML Vitebsk
Metric
Vitebsk
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-2-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
2.4
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
M0
0-0
9.5%
0-1
7.6%
0-2
3.1%
0-3
0.8%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
M1
1-0
14.8%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
4.7%
1-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.0%
M2
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
2-3
1.0%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
M3
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
M4
4-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
M5
5-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(14.8%)
2-0(11.5%)
2-1(9.2%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
M=Home goals ↓ V=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
ML Vitebsk Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Vitebsk Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
22%
Home Win & BTTS No
33%
Draw & BTTS Yes
11%
Draw & BTTS No
16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
7%
Away Win & BTTS No
11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
22%
Home Win & Under 2.5
33%
Draw & Over 2.5
11%
Draw & Under 2.5
16%
Away Win & Over 2.5
7%
Away Win & Under 2.5
11%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Vitebsk0
ML Vitebsk1
ML Vitebsk2
Vitebsk0
ML Vitebsk0
Vitebsk4
Vitebsk1
ML Vitebsk0
ML Vitebsk2
Vitebsk (AET)3
ML Vitebsk0
Vitebsk7
Vitebsk2
ML Vitebsk0
Recent Form
ML Vitebsk
Neman1
ML Vitebsk2
ML Vitebsk0
FC Gomel0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
ML Vitebsk3
ML Vitebsk5
Dnepr Mogilev1
Din. Minsk2
ML Vitebsk3
Din. Minsk1
ML Vitebsk0
ML Vitebsk0
Dynamo Brest0
BATE1
ML Vitebsk2
ML Vitebsk0
Din. Minsk2
Baranovici0
ML Vitebsk4
Vitebsk
Vitebsk2
Baranovici3
Isloch3
Vitebsk0
Zhodino1
Vitebsk1
Belshina1
Vitebsk0
Vitebsk0
Slavia Mozyr0
Naftan1
Vitebsk1
Vitebsk2
FC Minsk0
Vitebsk1
BATE0
Neman2
Vitebsk0
Vitebsk1
FC Gomel1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 13th June 2026, ML Vitebsk host Vitebsk in Belarus Vysshaya Liga. We recommend ML Vitebsk to win as the standout selection.
ML Vitebsk arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Vitebsk are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour ML Vitebsk, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Vitebsk's 0, with 0 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 14% of those meetings.
Our verdict: ml vitebsk to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Belarus Vysshaya Liga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.39. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for ML Vitebsk vs Vitebsk?
Our selection is 1 — ML Vitebsk to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is ML Vitebsk's current form?
ML Vitebsk have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vitebsk been performing recently?
Vitebsk have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
ML Vitebsk lead with 7 wins versus Vitebsk's 0, with 0 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 14%.
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