WON Tip WON Holbaek 1-0 Vejgaard
H

Holbaek

Home
W W W W W
10W 0D 0L → Steady
VS
1-0
V
Vejgaard
Away
W W L L L
3W 0D 7L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 13th June 2026
1
Backing Holbaek to win
Holbaek 50%
Draw 30%
Vejgaard 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 88.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -23.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Holbaek to win
1.13
Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Holbaek vs Vejgaard Competition: Denmark 3 Division Date: Saturday, 13th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Holbaek to win) Odds: 1.13 Confidence: 65% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Holbaek
2
Draws
2
Vejgaard
8
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
63%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Neutral Holbaek won 4 of the last 8 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Holbaek
Metric
Vejgaard
3
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.9
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
10-0-0
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
100%
30%
3.2
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
H0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 3.1%
0-2 1.2%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
H1
1-0 10.0%
1-1 7.5%
1-2 2.8%
1-3 0.7%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
H2
2-0 12.2%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 3.4%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
H3
3-0 10.0%
3-1 7.5%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
H4
4-0 6.1%
4-1 4.6%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
H5
5-0 3.0%
5-1 2.3%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(12.2%) 1-0(10.0%) 3-0(10.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Holbaek Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Vejgaard Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Holbaek
Overall
10.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.7
Vejgaard
Overall
3.0
Scoring
2.7
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 50%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 39%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.05.263D
Vejgaard0
Holbaek2
15.11.253D
Vejgaard3
Holbaek1
11.10.253D
Holbaek2
Vejgaard2
21.10.233D
Vejgaard2
Holbaek2
30.09.233D
Holbaek2
Vejgaard0
20.06.202DIV
Holbaek3
Vejgaard2
17.06.172DIV
Vejgaard2
Holbaek1
23.04.172DIV
Holbaek3
Vejgaard0
Recent Form
Holbaek
04.06.263D
Sundby1
Holbaek5
W
30.05.263D
Holbaek2
Lyseng1
W
23.05.263D
BK Frem1
Holbaek3
W
16.05.263D
Holbaek4
Odder2
W
09.05.263D
Vejgaard0
Holbaek2
W
02.05.263D
Holbaek2
Sundby0
W
25.04.263D
Holbaek4
BK Frem1
W
18.04.263D
Lyseng0
Holbaek2
W
11.04.263D
Odder1
Holbaek4
W
06.04.263D
Bronshoj0
Holbaek2
W
Vejgaard
05.06.263D
Vejgaard2
Lyseng0
W
30.05.263D
Vejgaard2
BK Frem0
W
22.05.263D
Odder2
Vejgaard0
L
16.05.263D
Vejgaard0
Sundby1
L
09.05.263D
Vejgaard0
Holbaek2
L
02.05.263D
Lyseng2
Vejgaard1
L
26.04.263D
Vejgaard3
Odder0
W
18.04.263D
BK Frem5
Vejgaard0
L
11.04.263D
Sundby2
Vejgaard0
L
06.04.263D
Nykobing5
Vejgaard0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 13th June 2026, Holbaek host Vejgaard in Denmark 3 Division. We recommend Holbaek to win as the standout selection.

Holbaek arrive in strong form, having recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Vejgaard are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Holbaek, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Vejgaard's 2, with 2 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 63% of those meetings.

Our verdict: holbaek to win at odds of 1.13 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Denmark 3 Division match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.13. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Holbaek vs Vejgaard?
Our selection is 1 — Holbaek to win, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Holbaek's current form?
Holbaek have won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vejgaard been performing recently?
Vejgaard have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Holbaek lead with 4 wins versus Vejgaard's 2, with 2 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 63%.
⚠️
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