Moderate Signal 58% Confidence
H

Halmstad

Home
D L L L D
1W 4D 5L ▲ Improving
VS
6:00 pm
Örjans Vall (Halmstad)
S
Sirius
Away
W W W D D
8W 2D 0L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Monday, 3rd August 2026
2
Backing Sirius to win
Halmstad 20%
Draw 30%
Sirius 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 72.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -14.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Sirius to win
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals100% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Halmstad vs Sirius Competition: Sweden Allsvenskan Date: Monday, 3rd August 2026 KO: 6:00 pm Pick: 2 (Sirius to win) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 58% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Halmstad
2
Draws
5
Sirius
11
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
64%
BTTS
64%
Over 2.5
Neutral Sirius won 5 of 11 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Halmstad
Metric
Sirius
1.1
Goals For / Game
2.7
2.1
Goals Against / Game
1.3
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
1-4-5
W — D — L
8-2-0
Win Rate
10%
80%
3.6
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
H0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 6.6%
0-2 7.9%
0-3 6.3%
0-4 3.8%
0-5 1.8%
H1
1-0 3.3%
1-1 7.9%
1-2 9.4%
1-3 7.6%
1-4 4.5%
1-5 2.2%
H2
2-0 2.0%
2-1 4.7%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 4.5%
2-4 2.7%
2-5 1.3%
H3
3-0 0.8%
3-1 1.9%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.5%
H4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.2%
H5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.4%) 0-2(7.9%) 1-3(7.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Halmstad Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Sirius Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Halmstad
Overall
2.2
Scoring
3.7
Defence
3.0
Sirius
Overall
8.6
Scoring
9.0
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Home Win & BTTS No 2%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 47%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 5%
Home Win & Under 2.5 3%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 40%
Away Win & Under 2.5 27%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.08.25ALL
Halmstad0
Sirius1
27.04.25ALL
Sirius1
Halmstad1
19.10.24ALL
Halmstad3
Sirius1
01.04.24ALL
Sirius3
Halmstad0
02.09.23ALL
Halmstad2
Sirius1
21.05.23ALL
Sirius1
Halmstad2
27.09.21ALL
Halmstad1
Sirius1
18.04.21ALL
Sirius1
Halmstad0
23.02.19CUP
Sirius1
Halmstad2
12.08.17ALL
Halmstad0
Sirius3
04.06.17ALL
Sirius2
Halmstad1
Recent Form
Halmstad
26.07.26ALL
GAIS1
Halmstad1
D
19.07.26ALL
Halmstad0
Hacken2
L
13.07.26ALL
Djurgarden3
Halmstad0
L
04.07.26ALL
Halmstad1
Vasteras SK3
L
24.06.26CF
Mjallby3
Halmstad3
D
17.06.26CF
GAIS1
Halmstad1
D
30.05.26ALL
Malmo FF5
Halmstad2
L
23.05.26ALL
Halmstad2
Orgryte0
W
16.05.26ALL
Halmstad1
Elfsborg1
D
10.05.26ALL
Kalmar2
Halmstad0
L
Sirius
26.07.26ALL
Sirius4
Goteborg1
W
19.07.26ALL
Elfsborg1
Sirius3
W
12.07.26ALL
Brommapojkarna1
Sirius2
W
03.07.26ALL
Sirius4
Mjallby4
D
26.06.26CF
Sirius1
Djurgarden1
D
30.05.26ALL
AIK0
Sirius3
W
24.05.26ALL
Sirius2
GAIS1
W
18.05.26ALL
Djurgarden2
Sirius3
W
11.05.26ALL
Sirius2
Orgryte0
W
02.05.26ALL
Sirius3
Kalmar2
W
Halmstad (Home)
19.07.26ALL
Halmstad0
Hacken2
L
04.07.26ALL
Halmstad1
Vasteras SK3
L
23.05.26ALL
Halmstad2
Orgryte0
W
16.05.26ALL
Halmstad1
Elfsborg1
D
04.05.26ALL
Halmstad1
Brommapojkarna3
L
18.04.26ALL
Halmstad1
Goteborg1
D
12.04.26ALL
Halmstad0
Degerfors3
L
16.03.26CF
Halmstad0
Olympic0
D
13.03.26CF
Halmstad0
Kalmar4
L
01.03.26CUP
Halmstad1
Varberg0
W
Sirius (Away)
19.07.26ALL
Elfsborg1
Sirius3
W
12.07.26ALL
Brommapojkarna1
Sirius2
W
30.05.26ALL
AIK0
Sirius3
W
18.05.26ALL
Djurgarden2
Sirius3
W
27.04.26ALL
Hacken2
Sirius2
D
23.04.26ALL
Malmo FF2
Sirius3
W
04.04.26ALL
Degerfors0
Sirius3
W
08.03.26CUP
Elfsborg1
Sirius2
W
01.11.25ALL
Norrkoping1
Sirius2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 3rd August 2026, Halmstad host Sirius at Örjans Vall (Halmstad) in Sweden Allsvenskan. We recommend Sirius to win as the standout selection.

Halmstad arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Sirius are travelling well, with a record of 8W 2D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Halmstad, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Sirius's 5, with 2 draws from 11 encounters. Both teams have scored in 64% of those meetings.

Our verdict: sirius to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Sweden Allsvenskan match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.38, sitting at roughly 20,30,50% in our model. The match gets going at 6:00 pm over at Örjans Vall (Halmstad).

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Halmstad vs Sirius?
Our selection is 2 — Sirius to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Halmstad's current form?
Halmstad have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sirius been performing recently?
Sirius have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Halmstad lead with 4 wins versus Sirius's 5, with 2 draws across 11 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 64%.
⚠️
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