K
Kairat Almaty
Home
W
W
W
W
D
6W 3D 1L
▲ Improving
VS
—
4:00 pm
—
Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)
S
Sutjeska
Away
L
L
L
L
W
4W 2D 4L
→ Steady
Kairat Almaty
50%
Draw
30%
Sutjeska
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
80.6%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-26.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
No head-to-head data found.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kairat Almaty
Metric
Sutjeska
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.1
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-3-1
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
2.7
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
K0
0-0
6.7%
0-1
7.1%
0-2
3.7%
0-3
1.3%
0-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
K1
1-0
11.1%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
6.1%
1-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
K2
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
2-2
5.0%
2-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
K3
3-0
5.0%
3-1
5.3%
3-2
2.8%
3-3
1.0%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
K4
4-0
2.1%
4-1
2.2%
4-2
1.1%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
K5
5-0
0.7%
5-1
0.7%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(11.1%)
2-1(9.6%)
2-0(9.2%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
K=Home goals ↓ S=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kairat Almaty Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Sutjeska Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
29%
Home Win & BTTS No
19%
Draw & BTTS Yes
12%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
19%
Away Win & BTTS No
13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
26%
Home Win & Under 2.5
22%
Draw & Over 2.5
11%
Draw & Under 2.5
9%
Away Win & Over 2.5
18%
Away Win & Under 2.5
14%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty5
Okzhetpes0
Okzhetpes1
Kairat Almaty3
Kyzylzhar2
Kairat Almaty4
Kairat Almaty3
Kyzylzhar0
Kairat Almaty1
Atyrau1
Ordabasy2
Kairat Almaty1
Kairat Almaty0
Kaisar Kyzylorda0
Zhenis1
Kairat Almaty2
Ulytau1
Kairat Almaty1
Kaisar Kyzylorda1
Kairat Almaty2
Sutjeska
Sutjeska1
FK Sarajevo2
Mornar Bar1
Sutjeska0
Borac Banja Luka1
Sutjeska0
Sutjeska1
Jedinstvo3
Mladost DG0
Sutjeska1
Sutjeska3
Decic0
Arsenal Tivat1
Sutjeska1
Bokelj2
Sutjeska3
Sutjeska1
Jezero1
Petrovac0
Sutjeska1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 8th July 2026, Kairat Almaty host Sutjeska at Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty) in UCL Qualifiers. We recommend Kairat Almaty to win as the standout selection.
Kairat Almaty arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Sutjeska are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.
Our verdict: kairat almaty to win at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this UCL Qualifiers match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.24, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 4:00 pm over at Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska?
Our selection is 1 — Kairat Almaty to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Kairat Almaty's current form?
Kairat Almaty have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sutjeska been performing recently?
Sutjeska have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game.
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