WON Tip WON Leuven W 3-2 Liege W
L

Leuven W

Home
W D D W D
6W 3D 1L → Steady
VS
3-2
L
Liege W
Away
D L D L D
2W 3D 5L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 22nd May 2026
1
Backing Leuven W to win
Leuven W 50%
Draw 30%
Liege W 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 71.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -18.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Leuven W to win
1.39
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Leuven W vs Liege W Competition: Belgium Women Super League Date: Friday, 22nd May 2026 Pick: 1 (Leuven W to win) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 53% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Leuven W
2
Draws
3
Liege W
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Leuven W won 5 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Leuven W
Metric
Liege W
1.5
Goals For / Game
1
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.5
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-3-1
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
60%
20%
2.5
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
L0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 8.2%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 12.9%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 1.9%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 9.7%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 4.4%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
L4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.9%) 2-0(9.7%) 2-1(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Leuven W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Liege W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Leuven W
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
Liege W
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.04.26SL
St. Liege W1
Leuven1
21.02.26SL
St. Liege W1
Leuven2
20.12.25SL
Leuven W2
St. Liege1
03.10.25SL
St. Liege W1
Leuven3
10.05.25SL
St. Liege W1
Leuven0
12.04.25SL
Leuven W0
St. Liege3
29.03.25SL
Leuven W0
St. Liege0
15.02.25CUP
St. Liege W4
Leuven1
14.12.24SL
St. Liege W1
Leuven2
07.09.24SL
Leuven W2
St. Liege1
Recent Form
Leuven W
16.05.26SL
Club Brugge W0
Leuven W2
W
09.05.26SL
Leuven W1
RSC Anderlecht W1
D
02.05.26SL
RSC Anderlecht W1
Leuven W1
D
25.04.26SL
Leuven W2
Club Brugge W1
W
04.04.26SL
St. Liege W1
Leuven W1
D
21.03.26SL
RSC Anderlecht W0
Leuven W1
W
17.03.26SL
Leuven W2
Westerlo W0
W
14.03.26SL
Leuven W2
Club Brugge W1
W
21.02.26SL
St. Liege W1
Leuven W2
W
18.02.26CL
Arsenal W3
Leuven W1
L
Liege W
17.05.26SL
St. Liege W1
RSC Anderlecht W1
D
09.05.26SL
Club Brugge W2
St. Liege W1
L
02.05.26SL
St. Liege W2
Club Brugge W2
D
25.04.26SL
RSC Anderlecht W2
St. Liege W0
L
04.04.26SL
St. Liege W1
Leuven W1
D
21.03.26SL
Club Brugge W0
St. Liege W3
W
14.03.26SL
St. Liege W1
Waregem W0
W
21.02.26SL
St. Liege W1
Leuven W2
L
18.02.26SL
St. Liege W0
Genk W2
L
14.02.26SL
RSC Anderlecht W3
St. Liege W0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 22nd May 2026, Leuven W host Liege W in Belgium Women Super League . We recommend Leuven W to win as the standout selection.

Leuven W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Liege W are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Leuven W, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Liege W's 3, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: leuven w to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Belgium Women Super League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.39. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Leuven W vs Liege W?
Our selection is 1 — Leuven W to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Leuven W's current form?
Leuven W have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Liege W been performing recently?
Liege W have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Leuven W lead with 5 wins versus Liege W's 3, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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