WON Tip WON Primorje 0-4 Celje
P

Primorje

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D L L L L
1W 1D 8L ▲ Improving
VS
0-4
C
Celje
Away
L L W W W
8W 0D 2L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 22nd May 2026
2
Backing Celje to win
Primorje 20%
Draw 30%
Celje 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 72.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -8.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Celje to win
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals85% Celje Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Primorje vs Celje Competition: Slovenia PRVA Liga Date: Friday, 22nd May 2026 Pick: 2 (Celje to win) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 64% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: Celje Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Primorje
1
Draws
7
Celje
10
Meetings
4.1
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Celje won 7 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Primorje
Metric
Celje
0.7
Goals For / Game
2.4
2.4
Goals Against / Game
0.7
20%
Clean Sheets
60%
1-1-8
W — D — L
8-0-2
Win Rate
10%
80%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
P0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 10.8%
0-2 13.0%
0-3 10.4%
0-4 6.2%
0-5 3.0%
P1
1-0 3.2%
1-1 7.6%
1-2 9.1%
1-3 7.3%
1-4 4.4%
1-5 2.1%
P2
2-0 1.1%
2-1 2.7%
2-2 3.2%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.7%
P3
3-0 0.3%
3-1 0.6%
3-2 0.7%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.2%
P4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-2(13.0%) 0-1(10.8%) 0-3(10.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Primorje Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Celje Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Primorje
Overall
1.3
Scoring
2.3
Defence
2.0
Celje
Overall
8.0
Scoring
8.0
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Home Win & BTTS No 7%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 50%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 5%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 46%
Away Win & Under 2.5 38%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.03.26PL
Celje5
Primorje1
07.12.25PL
Celje4
Primorje1
21.09.25PL
Primorje2
Celje3
04.05.25PL
Primorje0
Celje5
09.03.25PL
Celje2
Primorje2
10.11.24PL
Primorje1
Celje3
25.08.24PL
Celje0
Primorje3
29.05.11PL
Celje2
Primorje3
09.04.11PL
Primorje0
Celje1
20.11.10PL
Celje3
Primorje0
Recent Form
Primorje
16.05.26PL
Aluminij0
Primorje0
D
10.05.26PL
Primorje0
Mura2
L
02.05.26PL
O. Ljubljana3
Primorje0
L
26.04.26PL
Primorje2
Radomlje3
L
18.04.26PL
Maribor2
Primorje0
L
15.04.26PL
Bravo2
Primorje1
L
10.04.26PL
Primorje0
Koper4
L
22.03.26PL
Celje5
Primorje1
L
15.03.26PL
Primorje2
Aluminij0
W
07.03.26PL
Mura3
Primorje1
L
Celje
16.05.26PL
Celje1
Koper2
L
02.05.26PL
Celje2
Bravo3
L
26.04.26PL
Celje5
Aluminij0
W
19.04.26PL
Mura0
Celje2
W
15.04.26PL
Celje2
O. Ljubljana0
W
11.04.26PL
Radomlje1
Celje3
W
04.04.26PL
Celje1
Maribor0
W
22.03.26PL
Celje5
Primorje1
W
19.03.26UECL
AEK Athens0
Celje2
W
15.03.26PL
Koper0
Celje1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 22nd May 2026, Primorje host Celje in Slovenia PRVA Liga. We recommend Celje to win as the standout selection.

Primorje arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Celje are travelling well, with a record of 8W 0D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Primorje, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Celje's 7, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: celje to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Slovenia PRVA Liga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.38. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Primorje vs Celje?
Our selection is 2 — Celje to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Primorje's current form?
Primorje have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches.
How has Celje been performing recently?
Celje have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Primorje lead with 2 wins versus Celje's 7, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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