LOST Tip LOST ML Vitebsk 0-0 FC Gomel
M

ML Vitebsk

Home
W W W L D
6W 2D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
0-0
F
FC Gomel
Away
L W D W W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 22nd May 2026
1
Backing ML Vitebsk to win
ML Vitebsk 50%
Draw 30%
FC Gomel 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.2% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -13.2% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — ML Vitebsk to win
1.33
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
ML Vitebsk vs FC Gomel Competition: Belarus Vysshaya Liga Date: Friday, 22nd May 2026 Pick: 1 (ML Vitebsk to win) Odds: 1.33 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
3
ML Vitebsk
0
Draws
0
FC Gomel
3
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip ML Vitebsk won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
ML Vitebsk
Metric
FC Gomel
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.6
1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-2-2
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
60%
50%
3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
M0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 6.5%
0-2 4.2%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
M1
1-0 8.5%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 7.2%
1-3 3.1%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
M2
2-0 7.2%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 2.6%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
M3
3-0 4.1%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
M5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.4%) 1-0(8.5%) 2-0(7.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
ML Vitebsk Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
FC Gomel Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
ML Vitebsk
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.3
Defence
6.7
FC Gomel
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
23.11.25VL
ML Vitebsk5
FC Gomel0
28.06.25VL
FC Gomel0
ML Vitebsk2
15.02.25CF
FC Gomel2
ML Vitebsk3
Recent Form
ML Vitebsk
17.05.26VL
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
ML Vitebsk3
W
10.05.26VL
ML Vitebsk5
Dnepr Mogilev1
W
03.05.26VL
Din. Minsk2
ML Vitebsk3
W
29.04.26CUP
Din. Minsk1
ML Vitebsk0
L
25.04.26VL
ML Vitebsk0
Dynamo Brest0
D
19.04.26VL
BATE1
ML Vitebsk2
W
15.04.26CUP
ML Vitebsk0
Din. Minsk2
L
11.04.26VL
Baranovici0
ML Vitebsk4
W
04.04.26VL
ML Vitebsk1
Isloch1
D
28.03.26CF
ML Vitebsk4
Smorgon2
W
FC Gomel
14.05.26VL
FC Gomel2
Baranovici3
L
08.05.26VL
FC Gomel2
Isloch0
W
02.05.26VL
FC Gomel1
Zhodino1
D
26.04.26VL
Belshina0
FC Gomel2
W
19.04.26VL
FC Gomel3
Slavia Mozyr1
W
10.04.26VL
Naftan0
FC Gomel2
W
05.04.26VL
FC Minsk2
FC Gomel0
L
20.03.26VL
Vitebsk1
FC Gomel1
D
13.03.26CF
FC Gomel3
BumProm Gomel1
W
07.03.26CF
FC Gomel2
Iskra Smolensk1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Belarus Vysshaya Liga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.33. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for ML Vitebsk vs FC Gomel?
Our selection is 1 — ML Vitebsk to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is ML Vitebsk's current form?
ML Vitebsk have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has FC Gomel been performing recently?
FC Gomel have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
ML Vitebsk lead with 3 wins versus FC Gomel's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
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