WON Tip WON Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 Flora
P

Parnu JK Vaprus

Home
D W L W W
5W 2D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
1-2
F
Flora
Away
L W W W W
8W 0D 2L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 16th June 2026
2
Backing Flora to win
Parnu JK Vaprus 30%
Draw 20%
Flora 50%
H Fair Odds 3.33
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 70.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -6.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Flora to win
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals65% Flora Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Flora Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga Date: Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Pick: 2 (Flora to win) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 64% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Flora Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
Draws
7
Flora
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Flora won 7 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Parnu JK Vaprus
Metric
Flora
1.3
Goals For / Game
2.8
1.4
Goals Against / Game
0.9
40%
Clean Sheets
60%
5-2-3
W — D — L
8-0-2
Win Rate
50%
80%
3.2
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
P0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 9.0%
0-3 6.3%
0-4 3.3%
0-5 1.4%
P1
1-0 4.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.9%
1-4 3.6%
1-5 1.5%
P2
2-0 2.5%
2-1 5.2%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.8%
P3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 1.9%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.3%
P4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
P5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.9%) 0-2(9.0%) 0-1(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Parnu JK Vaprus Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
Flora Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Parnu JK Vaprus
Overall
5.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
Flora
Overall
8.0
Scoring
9.3
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 37%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.04.26ML
Flora2
Parnu JK Vaprus0
17.01.26CF
Parnu JK Vaprus2
Flora2
08.11.25ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Flora3
13.09.25ML
Flora3
Parnu JK Vaprus0
02.05.25ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Flora3
08.03.25ML
Flora0
Parnu JK Vaprus1
29.09.24ML
Flora3
Parnu JK Vaprus0
23.08.24ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Flora1
11.05.24ML
Flora0
Parnu JK Vaprus1
14.04.24ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora3
Recent Form
Parnu JK Vaprus
13.06.26ML
Tammeka0
Parnu JK Vaprus0
D
30.05.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus3
Kalju1
W
24.05.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Levadia6
L
16.05.26ML
Harju JK Laagri1
Parnu JK Vaprus2
W
09.05.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus2
Narva0
W
06.05.26CUP
Paide2
Parnu JK Vaprus0
L
02.05.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus2
Nomme Utd3
L
26.04.26ML
Kalju1
Parnu JK Vaprus2
W
21.04.26ML
Kuressaare0
Parnu JK Vaprus1
W
18.04.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Tammeka0
D
Flora
13.06.26ML
Flora1
Levadia3
L
29.05.26ML
Nomme Utd0
Flora4
W
23.05.26CUP
Paide1
Flora5
W
16.05.26ML
Narva0
Flora3
W
10.05.26ML
Kalju0
Flora1
W
05.05.26CUP
Flora1
Narva0
W
30.04.26ML
Flora5
Harju JK Laagri0
W
26.04.26ML
Paide1
Flora2
W
22.04.26ML
Flora6
Narva0
W
19.04.26ML
Levadia4
Flora0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 16th June 2026, Parnu JK Vaprus host Flora in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend Flora to win as the standout selection.

Parnu JK Vaprus arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Flora are travelling well, with a record of 8W 0D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Parnu JK Vaprus, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Flora's 7, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: flora to win at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Estonia Meistriliiga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.42. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Flora?
Our selection is 2 — Flora to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Parnu JK Vaprus's current form?
Parnu JK Vaprus have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Flora been performing recently?
Flora have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Parnu JK Vaprus lead with 2 wins versus Flora's 7, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
⚠️
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