WON Tip WON Wrexham W 4-1 Cardiff W
W

Wrexham W

Home
W W W W W
9W 0D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
4-1
C
Cardiff W
Away
W W L W W
8W 1D 1L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Sunday, 29th March 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 71.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +21.1% Value detected
Kelly % 75.1% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals95% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Wrexham W vs Cardiff W Competition: Wales Premier Women Date: Sunday, 29th March 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 93% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (95%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (85%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Wrexham W
1
Draws
6
Cardiff W
10
Meetings
4.1
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Wrexham W
Metric
Cardiff W
3.8
Goals For / Game
3.2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.2
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
9-0-1
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate
90%
80%
4.7
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
95%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
W0
0-0 0.9%
0-1 2.0%
0-2 2.2%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.4%
W1
1-0 2.3%
1-1 5.0%
1-2 5.5%
1-3 4.0%
1-4 2.2%
1-5 1.0%
W2
2-0 2.8%
2-1 6.3%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 5.0%
2-4 2.8%
2-5 1.2%
W3
3-0 2.4%
3-1 5.2%
3-2 5.7%
3-3 4.2%
3-4 2.3%
3-5 1.0%
W4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 3.6%
4-3 2.6%
4-4 1.4%
4-5 0.6%
W5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 1.6%
5-2 1.8%
5-3 1.3%
5-4 0.7%
5-5 0.3%
Top Scores 2-2(6.9%) 2-1(6.3%) 3-2(5.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip W=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Wrexham W
Overall
9.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.0
Cardiff W
Overall
8.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 43%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 48%
Home Win & Under 2.5 3%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 44%
Away Win & Under 2.5 2%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.02.26
PLW: Cardiff City1
Wrexham3
04.01.26
PLW: Cardiff City2
Wrexham1
12.10.25
PLW: Wrexham1
Cardiff City1
06.04.25
PLW: Wrexham4
Cardiff City2
09.03.25
PLW: Cardiff City1
Wrexham2
01.12.24
PLW: Cardiff City4
Wrexham1
15.09.24
PLW: Wrexham0
Cardiff City2
07.04.24
PLW: Cardiff City5
Wrexham1
17.03.24
PLW: Wrexham1
Cardiff City6
21.01.24
PLW: Cardiff City3
Wrexham0
Recent Form
Wrexham W
25.03.26
PLW: Swansea City1
Wrexham7
W
22.03.26
PLW: TNS0
Wrexham1
W
15.03.26
PLW: Wrexham4
TNS1
W
28.02.26
PLW: Cardiff City1
Wrexham3
W
01.02.26
PLW: Barry Town1
Wrexham6
W
25.01.26
PLW: Wrexham3
Briton Ferry1
W
04.01.26
PLW: Cardiff City2
Wrexham1
L
07.12.25
PLW: Wrexham3
Aberystwyth2
W
30.11.25
PLW: Wrexham4
Swansea City2
W
16.11.25
PLW: Pontypridd1
Wrexham6
W
Cardiff W
22.03.26
PLW: Cardiff City2
Swansea City1
W
15.03.26
PLW: Swansea City1
Cardiff City2
W
28.02.26
PLW: Cardiff City1
Wrexham3
L
15.02.26
PLW: TNS1
Cardiff City5
W
01.02.26
PLW: Aberystwyth0
Cardiff City4
W
25.01.26
PLW: Cardiff City6
Pontypridd0
W
15.01.26
PLW: Briton Ferry1
Cardiff City4
W
04.01.26
PLW: Cardiff City2
Wrexham1
W
30.11.25
PLW: Cardiff City3
TNS3
D
16.11.25
PLW: Swansea City1
Cardiff City3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 29th March 2026, Wrexham W host Cardiff W in Wales Premier Women. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Wrexham W arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Cardiff W are travelling well, with a record of 8W 1D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Wrexham W, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Cardiff W's 6, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Wales Premier Women match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 2.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.39. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Wrexham W vs Cardiff W?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 93%.
What is Wrexham W's current form?
Wrexham W have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cardiff W been performing recently?
Cardiff W have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Wrexham W lead with 3 wins versus Cardiff W's 6, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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