Z
Zhenis Astana W
Home
W
W
W
W
W
7W 1D 2L
โผ Declining
VS
โ
4:00 pm
โ
N/A
Y
Yelimay Semey W
Away
L
W
L
W
D
5W 1D 4L
โผ Declining
Zhenis Astana W
50%
Draw
30%
Yelimay Semey W
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
85.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-28.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ Zhenis Astana W to win
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals90%
Over 1.5 Goals95%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W
Competition: Kazakhstan Women League
Date: Monday, 27th July 2026
KO: 4:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Zhenis Astana W to win)
Odds: 1.17
Confidence: 57%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (90%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Zhenis Astana W
1
Draws
0
Yelimay Semey W
2
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Zhenis Astana W won 1 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Zhenis Astana W
Metric
Yelimay Semey W
5
Goals For / Game
2.1
2.2
Goals Against / Game
2.3
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-1-2
W โ D โ L
5-1-4
Win Rate
5.8
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
90%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Z0
0-0
0.3%
0-1
0.7%
0-2
0.7%
0-3
0.5%
0-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
Z1
1-0
1.1%
1-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
1-4
1.0%
1-5
0.4%
Z2
2-0
2.0%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
4.7%
2-3
3.3%
2-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
Z3
3-0
2.5%
3-1
5.3%
3-2
5.7%
3-3
4.1%
3-4
2.2%
3-5
0.9%
Z4
4-0
2.2%
4-1
4.8%
4-2
5.2%
4-3
3.7%
4-4
2.0%
4-5
0.9%
Z5
5-0
1.6%
5-1
3.5%
5-2
3.8%
5-3
2.7%
5-4
1.5%
5-5
0.6%
Top Scores
3-2(5.7%)
3-1(5.3%)
4-2(5.2%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
Z=Home goals โ Y=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Zhenis Astana W Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Yelimay Semey W Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
22%
Home Win & BTTS No
32%
Draw & BTTS Yes
3%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
15%
Away Win & BTTS No
23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
49%
Home Win & Under 2.5
5%
Draw & Over 2.5
7%
Draw & Under 2.5
1%
Away Win & Over 2.5
34%
Away Win & Under 2.5
4%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Zhenis Astana W2
Yelimay Semey2
Yelimay Semey W1
Zhenis Astana3
Recent Form
Zhenis Astana W
Altai W0
Zhenis Astana W8
Zhenis Astana W9
Shakhter Karagandy W0
Tobol W0
Zhenis Astana W4
Zhenis Astana W3
Tobol W0
Shakhter Karagandy W1
Zhenis Astana W10
Zhenis Astana W5
Altai W0
Zhenis Astana W2
Kyzylzhar W2
Zhenis Astana W5
FC Astana W1
Aktobe W13
Zhenis Astana W1
Zhenis Astana W7
Okzhetpes W1
Yelimay Semey W
Kyzylzhar W4
Yelimay Semey W0
Yelimay Semey W2
Altai W0
Yelimay Semey W0
Aktobe W6
Ertis Pavlodar W1
Yelimay Semey W3
Yelimay Semey W2
Ertis Pavlodar W2
Altai W1
Yelimay Semey W4
Yelimay Semey W1
Kyzylzhar W0
Aktobe W5
Yelimay Semey W0
Yelimay Semey W9
Okzhetpes W0
FC Astana W4
Yelimay Semey W0
Zhenis Astana W (Home)
Zhenis Astana W9
Shakhter Karagandy W0
Zhenis Astana W3
Tobol W0
Zhenis Astana W5
Altai W0
Zhenis Astana W2
Kyzylzhar W2
Zhenis Astana W5
FC Astana W1
Zhenis Astana W7
Okzhetpes W1
Zhenis Astana W0
Tobol W0
Zhenis Astana W2
Yelimay Semey2
Zhenis Astana W0
Shymkent W10
Zhenis Astana W3
Kyzylzhar W0
Yelimay Semey W (Away)
Kyzylzhar W4
Yelimay Semey W0
Ertis Pavlodar W1
Yelimay Semey W3
Altai W1
Yelimay Semey W4
Aktobe W5
Yelimay Semey W0
FC Astana W4
Yelimay Semey W0
Shakhter Karagandy W0
Yelimay Semey W7
Tomiris-Turan W4
Yelimay Semey W0
Zhenis Astana W2
Yelimay Semey2
Zhetysu W1
Yelimay Semey W4
Okzhetpes W0
Yelimay Semey W11
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Monday, 27th July 2026, Zhenis Astana W host Yelimay Semey W at N/A in Kazakhstan Women League. We recommend Zhenis Astana W to win as the standout selection.
Zhenis Astana W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Yelimay Semey W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Zhenis Astana W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Yelimay Semey W's 0, with 1 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.
Our verdict: zhenis astana w to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Kazakhstan Women League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 5 wins from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.17, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 4:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W?
Our selection is 1 โ Zhenis Astana W to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Zhenis Astana W's current form?
Zhenis Astana W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Yelimay Semey W been performing recently?
Yelimay Semey W have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zhenis Astana W lead with 1 wins versus Yelimay Semey W's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 5.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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