A
Al Arabi
Home
L
L
W
W
D
4W 3D 3L
→ Steady
VS
—
6:45 pm
Sabah Al Salem Stadium (Kuwait)
A
Al Fahaleel
Away
L
L
D
L
L
2W 1D 7L
→ Steady
Al Arabi
50%
Draw
30%
Al Fahaleel
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
82%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-30%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Arabi to win
1.22
Under 2.5 Goals85%
BTTS — No80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Arabi vs Al Fahaleel
Competition: Kuwait Premier League
Date: Monday, 29th June 2026
KO: 6:45 pm
Pick: 1 (Al Arabi to win)
Odds: 1.22
Confidence: 52%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (85%)
Also: BTTS — No (80%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Al Arabi
3
Draws
0
Al Fahaleel
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Al Arabi won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Arabi
Metric
Al Fahaleel
1.3
Goals For / Game
0
0.8
Goals Against / Game
0
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
4-3-3
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
1.1
Avg Goals
35%
Over 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0
35.0%
0-1
14.0%
0-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
0-4
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
A1
1-0
22.8%
1-1
9.1%
1-2
1.8%
1-3
0.2%
1-4
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
A2
2-0
7.4%
2-1
3.0%
2-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
2-4
0.0%
2-5
0.0%
A3
3-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
3-2
0.1%
3-3
0.0%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
A4
4-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
4-2
0.0%
4-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
A5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(22.8%)
2-0(7.4%)
2-1(3.0%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Arabi Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Al Fahaleel Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
10%
Home Win & BTTS No
40%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
5%
Away Win & BTTS No
20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
8%
Home Win & Under 2.5
43%
Draw & Over 2.5
4%
Draw & Under 2.5
21%
Away Win & Over 2.5
4%
Away Win & Under 2.5
21%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Al Arabi2
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Arabi1
Al-Fahaheel1
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Arabi3
Al Arabi3
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Arabi1
Al-Fahaheel1
Al-Fahaheel1
Al Arabi3
Al Arabi3
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Arabi1
Al-Fahaheel1
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Arabi2
Al-Fahaheel1
Al Arabi2
Recent Form
Al Arabi
Al Salmiya1
Al Arabi0
Al Kuwait3
Al Arabi2
Al Arabi2
Al Qadisiya0
Kazma SC0
Al Arabi2
Al Arabi0
Al Qadisiya0
Al Arabi2
Al Naser1
Al Jahra1
Al Arabi1
Al Arabi1
Al Tadamon1
Al Arabi3
Al Kuwait0
Al Salmiya1
Al Arabi0
Al Fahaleel
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Qadisiya2
Al Salmiya2
Al-Fahaheel1
Al-Fahaheel1
Kazma SC1
Al Kuwait4
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Tadamon1
Al-Fahaheel0
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Salmiya2
Kazma SC2
Al-Fahaheel3
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Kuwait4
Al Naser4
Al-Fahaheel2
Al-Fahaheel3
Al Shabab2
Al Arabi (Home)
Al Arabi2
Al Qadisiya0
Al Arabi0
Al Qadisiya0
Al Arabi2
Al Naser1
Al Arabi1
Al Tadamon1
Al Arabi3
Al Kuwait0
Al Arabi2
Al Sahel0
Al Arabi0
Kazma SC1
Al Arabi3
Al Qadisiya4
Al Arabi2
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Arabi1
Al-Fahaheel1
Al Fahaleel (Away)
Al Salmiya2
Al-Fahaheel1
Al Kuwait4
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Tadamon1
Al-Fahaheel0
Kazma SC2
Al-Fahaheel3
Al Naser4
Al-Fahaheel2
Al Shabab1
Al-Fahaheel1
Al Arabi2
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Arabi1
Al-Fahaheel1
Al Kuwait5
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Salmiya1
Al-Fahaheel2
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Monday, 29th June 2026, Al Arabi host Al Fahaleel at Sabah Al Salem Stadium (Kuwait) in Kuwait Premier League. We recommend Al Arabi to win as the standout selection.
Al Arabi arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Al Fahaleel are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Al Arabi, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Al Fahaleel's 0, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.
Our verdict: al arabi to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Kuwait Premier League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.22, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 6:45 pm over at Sabah Al Salem Stadium (Kuwait).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Arabi vs Al Fahaleel?
Our selection is 1 — Al Arabi to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is Al Arabi's current form?
Al Arabi have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Fahaleel been performing recently?
Al Fahaleel have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Arabi lead with 7 wins versus Al Fahaleel's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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